Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 3.005814 3.321351 3.662341 4.059267 4.509915 5.007158 5.599392
2025-07-06 2.434114 2.833736 3.294144 3.867425 4.567120 5.399753 6.475164
2025-07-13 2.165321 2.619675 3.168705 3.888298 4.817415 5.991639 7.612179
2025-07-20 1.994186 2.488849 3.110282 3.960144 5.110838 6.642364 8.882932
2025-07-27 1.866358 2.391815 3.074305 4.042821 5.410332 7.317033 10.259486
2025-08-03 1.751676 2.296793 3.025632 4.094136 5.660334 7.937940 11.630200
2025-08-10 1.646267 2.202442 2.965364 4.116848 5.862777 8.501676 12.980672
2025-08-17 1.512707 2.056964 2.819245 3.997552 5.834989 8.703610 13.766698
2025-08-24 1.414926 1.954098 2.724468 3.943046 5.895966 9.043741 14.820851
2025-08-31 1.337532 1.874616 2.656721 3.921550 6.003022 9.464487 16.068465
2025-09-07 1.302328 1.854306 2.674698 4.033684 6.335932 10.299278 18.197223
2025-09-14 1.239819 1.788262 2.617215 4.017971 6.449226 10.758758 19.672917
2025-09-21 1.174622 1.715441 2.546252 3.977587 6.521713 11.163725 21.131711
2025-09-28 1.082020 1.594718 2.391814 3.784910 6.305425 11.005643 21.390317
2025-10-05 1.041466 1.553681 2.362809 3.804357 6.475693 11.606872 23.396704
2025-10-12 1.014053 1.531773 2.363143 3.874167 6.745307 12.435770 26.071946
2025-10-19 0.990514 1.514521 2.369624 3.954632 7.042260 13.357264 29.151887
2025-10-26 0.963084 1.489080 2.360213 4.004580 7.283104 14.190217 32.187467
2025-11-02 0.932794 1.457048 2.337170 4.026687 7.468900 14.925801 35.128638
2025-11-09 0.882181 1.387935 2.245184 3.910559 7.356410 14.972434 36.200956
2025-11-16 0.844993 1.340022 2.188044 3.857494 7.371907 15.316725 38.188450
2025-11-23 0.815098 1.303276 2.148819 3.836564 7.454358 15.830180 40.789138
2025-11-30 0.805926 1.302236 2.174102 3.945733 7.833712 17.120961 46.095172